Monday, 31 December 2012

BSE and SEBI Pick of the week - 31 Dec 2012

Research Team recommends Mahindra Lifespace Developers at current price with a target price of Rs 455, Power Grid Corporation at current price with a target price of Rs 131, Container Corporation of India at current price with a target price of Rs 1,050, Gateway Distriparks at current price with a target price of Rs 190.

Trade

Mahindra Lifespace Developers
 1,666
 408
 455
 12%
Buy
Power Grid Corporation
 52,802
 113
 131
 16%
Buy
Container Corporation of India
 11,880
 917
 1,050
 14%
Buy
Gateway Distriparks
 1,496
 139
 190
 37%
Buy

Rationale for the Investment Ideas

Mahindra Lifespace Developers

Valuations & Outlook
Even though execution and approval delays have impacted the financial performance of the company, we believe that challenges are now deteriorating. The company is well placed to leverage on the ongoing projects and available land bank as at least 3 projects are expected to hit the revenue recognition threshold in the current quarter. We have valued the company on a SOTP basis to arrive at a NAV of Rs. 455 per share. Thus we maintain a BUY on the stock for a target price Rs. 455.

Highlights
Successful launches and healthy sales from ongoing projects: The company successfully launched 2 projects in the current quarter viz Aqualily Apts C1 in Chennai and Antheia – Phase 1 in Pune. Sales from the existing residential projects also remained healthy with the company managing to sell 0.21msf (146 units) against 0.16msf (106 units) in the previous quarter.

Pune Project was received favorably and Hyderabad is awaiting final approval: Pune residential project (Antheia – Phase1) was launched in the current quarter with a Total Development Area of 0.22 msf. The project received an encouraging response as 22% units were sold in the current quarter itself. The Hyderabad project has also received key approvals with the management confident of a launch in November 2012 after getting the final approvals for the project.

Traction on approvals front but trend on execution remains weak: The management acknowledged traction on the approvals front which enabled them to successfully launch a project in Pune apart from the launch of Aqualily Apts C1 in Chennai. However, trends on the execution front were a matter of concern during the current quarter as issues w.r.t. labour availability and contractor performance affected the financial performance. Moreover, high court issue w.r.t. water availability also remained a drag on the operational performance.

Addition of land parcels continue: The management added a land parcel in Alibaug to the tune of 0.23 msf thus increasing the total land bank added in H1 FY13 to over 1 msf. Apart from this, the company has ~4.5 msf worth of land bank undergoing title due diligence. With additions in Alibaug and Hyderabad, the company is now diversifying and adding on to its land bank for future growth.


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